全球及北美主要航空公司罢工风险分析

  一般来说,只要航空公司雇员没有加入工会,或公司总部所在国法律限制工会罢工权利,就比较少有罢工风险。可以从以下几类来理解: 1. 中东三大航空 阿联酋航空(Emirates) 阿提哈德航空(Etihad Airways) 卡塔尔航空(Qatar Airways) 这些航空的总部位于阿联酋、阿布扎比、卡塔尔,当地劳动制度对工会组织和罢工几乎不允许,所以罢工风险极低。 2. 部分亚洲航空公司 新加坡航空(Singapore Airlines) 国泰航空(Cathay Pacific)(香港的工会存在,但罢工行动极少,近十年几乎没有大规模罢工) 大韩航空、韩亚航空(韩国虽有工会,但罢工少见,通常影响有限) 日本航空(JAL)、全日空(ANA)(有工会,但日本工会行动一般比较温和,罢工极少,常以“象征性罢工”或谈判妥协为主) 3. 中国大陆航空公司 中国国际航空、东方航空、南方航空、海南航空等 由于中国大陆的实际情况,基本完全没有工会罢工风险。 4. 低成本航空的一些情况 东南亚的廉航(如亚航 AirAsia、酷航 Scoot)通常没有强大工会,罢工风险低。 欧洲廉航(如瑞安航空、易捷航空、Wizz Air)则经常发生罢工,因为欧洲工会势力较强。 小结: 如果你希望最大限度避免罢工干扰,可以优先选择 中东三大(Emirates、Qatar、Etihad) 和 中国大陆航空;其次是 新加坡航空、日本航空公司,它们虽然有工会,但罢工非常少见。 罢工风险最低的国际航空公司排行榜 零罢工风险级(几乎不可能罢工) ,这些航空所在国家几乎不允许工会罢工,或公司制度完全避免: 阿联酋航空 Emirates(阿联酋) 阿提哈德航空 Etihad Airways(阿布扎比) 卡塔尔航空 Qatar Airways(卡塔尔) 中国国际航空、中国东方航空、中国南方航空、海南航空(中国大陆) 特点:从未出现过罢工新闻。 极低风险级(基本不会影响航班), 这些航空有工会,但文化或法律环境决定罢工极少: 新加坡航空 Singapore Airlines(新加坡) 日本航空 JAL、全日空 ANA(日本——常见“象征性罢工”,基本不影响航班) 大韩航空、韩亚航空(韩国——工会存在,但罢工次数极少) 特点:亚洲文化倾向于避免长期罢工,乘客几乎不受影响。 低风险级(罢工可能发生,但概率较低) 国泰...

Analysis of strike risks of major airlines around the world and North America

 




Generally speaking, as long as airline employees are not unionized, or the company's headquarters are located in a country where laws restrict unions' right to strike, the risk of a strike is relatively low. This can be understood from the following perspectives:

1. The three largest airlines in the Middle East

Emirates

Etihad Airways

Qatar Airways

These airlines are headquartered in the United Arab Emirates, Abu Dhabi and Qatar, where the local labor system hardly allows union organization and strikes, so the risk of strikes is extremely low.

2. Some Asian airlines

Singapore Airlines

Cathay Pacific (Trade unions exist in Hong Kong, but strike action is rare, with almost no major strikes in the past decade)

Korean Air, Asiana Airlines (South Korea has labor unions, but strikes are rare and usually have limited impact)

Japan Airlines (JAL), All Nippon Airways (ANA) (They have unions, but Japanese unions are generally mild in their actions, with strikes rare and often focusing on "symbolic strikes" or negotiated compromises)

3. Mainland Chinese airlines

Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Hainan Airlines, etc.

Due to the actual situation in mainland China, there is basically no risk of union strikes.

4. Some information about low-cost airlines

Low-cost airlines in Southeast Asia (such as AirAsia and Scoot) generally do not have strong unions and the risk of strikes is low.

European low-cost airlines (such as Ryanair, EasyJet, and Wizz Air) often experience strikes because European trade unions are strong.

summary:

If you want to avoid strike interference as much as possible, you can give priority to the three major Middle Eastern airlines (Emirates, Qatar, Etihad) and Chinese mainland airlines; followed by Singapore Airlines and Japan Airlines. Although they have unions, strikes are very rare.


Ranking of international airlines with the lowest strike risk


Zero strike risk level (almost impossible to strike) , these airlines are located in countries where union strikes are rarely allowed or company systems completely avoid them:

Emirates (United Arab Emirates)

Etihad Airways (Abu Dhabi)

Qatar Airways (Qatar)

Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Hainan Airlines (Mainland China)

Features: There has never been a strike news.


Very low risk (little impact on flights). These airlines have unions, but the cultural or legal environment means strikes are rare:

Singapore Airlines (Singapore)

Japan Airlines (JAL) and All Nippon Airways (ANA) (Japan – common “symbolic strikes” that rarely affect flights)

Korean Air, Asiana Airlines (South Korea – unions exist, but strikes are rare)

Characteristics: Asian culture tends to avoid long strikes, passengers are rarely affected.


Low risk level (strikes are possible but the probability is low)

Cathay Pacific (Hong Kong – unionized, but strike action is rare)

Taiwan's China Airlines and EVA Air (pilot/flight attendant strikes have occurred in the past, but the frequency is low)

Thai Airways (occasional labor-management friction, but generally less so)

Characteristics: There may be strikes in some years, but this is not the norm.


High risk (frequent strikes, passengers should be aware)

Air France

Lufthansa (Germany)

British Airways

ITA Airways (formerly Alitalia, with a history of frequent strikes)

Iberia

European low-cost airlines (Ryanair, easyJet, Wizz Air)

Characteristics: European trade unions are powerful, strikes occur frequently, and flights are delayed or canceled on a large scale.


Final Recommendations:

If you are most afraid of encountering a strike when traveling, you can choose to:

The three largest in the Middle East (Emirates / Qatar / Etihad)

Singapore Airlines

Japan Airlines, All Nippon Airways

Mainland China's state-owned airlines


Airlines in the United States and Canada are in a unique situation when it comes to strike risk: while most of their employees are unionized, the law makes strikes in the airline industry very difficult.


United States 

In the United States, airline employees generally have strong unions (pilot unions, flight attendant unions, ground staff unions, etc.). However, the Railway Labor Act (RLA) applies to the aviation industry and stipulates that strikes must go through:

The union negotiated with the company for a long time;

The Federal Mediation Commission intervened;

If there is still no result, it will need to be reviewed by the Presidential Emergency Board (PEB);

The president or Congress can force a delay or prevent a strike.

Result: Strikes by major U.S. airlines are theoretically possible, but in reality they are extremely rare and are almost always announced weeks in advance; they don't happen suddenly.

American Airlines

Delta Air Lines ( relatively lightly unionized, with a history of few strikes)

United Airlines

Southwest Airlines

Historical situation:

There were small-scale pilot or mechanic strikes in the 2000s, but there have been few real large-scale groundings since 2010.

Although the union has protested in recent years (over pay increases and scheduling issues), these were all resolved at the mediation stage.

Conclusion: Strike risk for major US airlines = Medium to low (unions exist, but they are strongly constrained by law, and full-scale strikes are rare).


Canada

Canada does not have an RLA like the United States, but the aviation industry is also a critical public service and the government usually intervenes quickly.

Air Canada

WestJet

Air Transat

Historical situation:

In 2011, the Air Canada pilots union launched a strike, but the Canadian federal government quickly enacted the "Forced Return to Work Act" and the strike lasted only a few days.

In 2023, WestJet mechanics planned to strike, but the Canadian Ministry of Labour directly intervened to prevent it.

Conclusion: Canadian airline strike risk: medium to low (unions are powerful, but the government almost always intervenes to prevent large-scale flight suspensions).



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